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Thursday 11 March 2010 |
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Race
Detail |
Bendigo R3 No8 Spurlash (1) - on exposed form Shadow Land looks
the obvious top elect here but the value angle around the unexposed Spurlash is
hard to ignore, comes into this 2nd up from a spell and exposed form suggests it
handles wet tracks fine including a 0.1l 2nd under trial conditions behind Miss
Extravagant prior to debut last preparation, put a big 6l margin back to 3rd
that day, came out at 2nd career start and finished 2l 3rd to Clearway over
1300m on this track making up big headway from off the pace in an effort that
rates clearly above the level required to win here, only mediocre 1st up this
prep behind Zantelagh but fitter now and looks well placed here trying 1400m for
the 1st time, likely good value, warrants respect as the likely value commodity.
More selections updating during the course of the day.......
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Wednesday 10 March 2010 |
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Race
Detail |
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Sandown R2 No2 Sparks Fly (3) - well bred type by Flying Spur out of
the Spartacus mare Dual Spark, comes into this 1st up from a spell and 1st up
form reads very well, 1st up last prep finished 1.6l 3rd at Group 3 level behind
Romneya, exposed form out of that race is simply stronger than anything else in
this race, the major query seems to be the pace scenario as it will get back,
other query is no form on wet tracks, if the conditions were better we would not
hesitate making this a level 3 selection but with the queries in play we keep it
to a level 2 rating. With the major query runner Zauberin now scratched this
increases to a level (3) rating.
Canterbury R2 No7 Kimberley Kid (1) - this is a very smart
field for the advertised class with the likes of Griffon and Nightofthegeneral
also engaged along with Kimberley Kid, the big factor for us is the weight that
both Griffon and Nightofthegeneral have to give away to Kimberley Kid after the
claim for Josh Adams, Kimberley Kid gets in here with only 50kgs and on the back
of running a close up 1.4l 5th to Winter King in a very hot $100K Qlty at
Rosehill 1st up that does seem a luxury weight despite taking on older horses,
it is bred purely for speed by Johannesburg out of a Shovhog mare and looks
likely to get a good trip tracking a fast pace with so much other speed engaged,
with only 50kg on its back it will be flashing huge pars at the business end and
may prove hard to hold out.
Canterbury R4 No5 Neeson (3) - decently bred type by Mossman
out of the Don't Forget Me mare Favorite Actress, comes into this 2nd up from a
spell tasking on older horses for the 1st time on the back of finishing 4th btn
1l in $70K 3yo company behind Winter King, carrier 59kg that day and clearly
rated the best out of that race, form since strong with the winner Winter King
making it 2 on end next start defeating a hot field for a $100K purse including
Honest Truth and The Mikado, 2nd up now Neeson is fitter and drops 5.5kg on that
run, likely to get a perfect trip with the run of the race or may even lead if
they don't go too hard early, prior to that good 1st up effort finished 1.2l 3rd
to O'Lonhro under trial conditions, form from last prep also reads well above
the level required to win here, clearly the only one in this race with more
scope vs sprinters who are past their best.
Balaklava R2 No11 Waikiki Girl (2) - decently bred for speed by
Iglesia out of the Red Anchor mare Honolulu, comes into this 1st up from a spell
off a 63 day let up, go on 1st career start 2 back when 3rd btn 2.1l by Kelly
Royale at Morphettville over 1000m, looks a strong form race with 2nd, 4th and
6th home that day all winning very quickly after, also put a good margin back to
4th adding very good depth to the form of the first 3 home, drawn a wide gate
here but has good gate speed and should be able to cross them without working
too hard early, overall depth of form surrounding the rest of the field not that
great, if it finds the front without working too hard early it should prove
overly difficult to hold out.
More selections updating during the course of the day.......
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Tuesday 9 March 2010 |
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Race
Detail |
Warrnambool R5 No1 Nato (2) - with the rail out 5m here the
inside should be the place to be which is an advantage for Nato who is drawn
down on the rails, shapes as a race in 2 between Nato and I Love Rubies, Nato is
still fairly lightly raced and looks to be at the top of his game now on the
back of winning last start at Cranbourne over 1200m, drops in class here and
carries the same weight as he did winning last start, very good form last 2
preparation well above this grade including being placed at G3 level as a 2yo
behind Exceedingly Good and 1.7l 3rd to Eclair Fantastic last prep, only needs
to get a split as to figure here at the business end as will go back and be
ridden for luck which is its general racing pattern, has a clear weight pull
over I Love Rubies of approx 4.5kg despite giving it 3kg here with form line
provided through Endofthetunnel.
More selections updating during the course of the day.......
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