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Welcome to Detailed Race Previews ...... this area of the site is dedicated to in-depth analysis of certain Australian races.

This service operates on any given day during the week with 1 race only covered on most days except Wednesday, Saturday, Sunday and Public Holidays where up to 3 races may be covered.

The idea of this service is to identify value betting propositions for win and place betting where we will outlay up to 20% of the bank on each race in total across win and place betting combined. Additional advice for lay betting and exotic betting is sometime also offered for users of this service in the race previews but is not included in the results portfolio. Only the results associated to the win and place betting is correlated in the results portfolio for this service.

Some of the previews are detailed for FREE in the Features section of our website which can be accessed on the top menu of the site so potential members can view the high quality of information this service offers. They are also listed below.

Previews for every race are emailed to clients once they have been compiled and this is generally the night before the race is scheduled to run. If scratching apply a new preview is emailed on race morning.

To view a sample of Race Previews that are given out on this site periodically for FREE then please read on below. We do not give out a lot of them for FREE as we like to protect the value for members as a lot of the horses we back through this service are at very good value odds and weight of money from non-members backing them can effect the long term profitability of the service

To view results for this service click here.

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Mornington Race 2, Wednesday 17 February, Race Preview

MORNINGTON R2 - 1200m C1 3yo (equivalent) $20,000

Rarely do we do what we will do in this race but here we will be backing 3 horses instead of the usual 2 to win and at the prices they offer up very good value and look to have the race between them, this once again as per usual for this race at this meeting each year looks a super strong form race for future reference with no less than 7 of them capable of winning above the class required to win here but the 3 we will back stand out clearly above the rest, confidence of a positive result is good.

Mornington R2 No4 Gauteng (1) - 2nd up from a spell here and happy to forgive the 1st up effort at Sandown when btn 6.9l by Rockface, better than that form suggests, go on 3rd up effort last prep when 2nd btn 0.1l by Gardner over 1400m at Sandown on the Lakeside course, held sway that day over Kidnapped 3rd and Head Over Heels 4th with other smart type well beaten further back through the field, well drawn for a near perfect trip on pace tracking a fairly strong pace, very well bred by More Than Ready out of the above average Flying Spur mare Roedean, Dunn booked for astute yard of Lee Freedman, the major hope in our eyes and at 11.00 in early markets represents very good value.

Mornington R2 No14 Suzebabe (1) - represents the astute Moody yard and well bred for speed by Testa Rossa out of the Snippets mare Springfire who is also the dam of Debutant Stakes winner Spring Warrior, comes into this having 2nd career start and is 1st up from a spell, won on debut at Bairnsdale over 1000m clocking very fast time compared to the rest that day over similar trips, 2nd and 3rd home in that race were multiple winners in their next few starts adding very good depth to the form, drawn ok to secure a good on pace trip, right in this at the weights and at 8.50 in early markets represents good value considering the hot yard it represents and the natural scope for improvement it possesses.

Mornington R2 No12 Here No Tears (1) - the 3rd elect here but right in it and at the early price offered of 18.00 can not be ignored, 1st up last prep failed in G3 company behind Avenue then finished 6th at Sale, put away straight after so obviously did not come up right that prep, prepared to forgive those runs and go on form from 2 preps ago, broke maiden at 2nd career start at Kilmore over 1112m by 2.3l defeating I Need To Fly who franked that form placing then winning a $30K race 2 starts later, 4th home Elvine also franks the form back through Quick Blush, at the weights rates 3kg below Gauteng but has scope for further improvement, overly well bred by Dehere out of the Filante mare Boo Who who herself is a half sister to 1000 Guineas winner Macedon Lady.

WIN BETTING:
Gauteng 2 units win @ 11.00
Suzebabe 2 units win @ 8.50
Here No Tears 1 unit win @ 18.00

Note this market is set to 140% at early fixed odds so it is very likely better prices will be available about all runners closer to post time when market should get closer to 115% with bookmakers and around 103-105% on Betfair.

PLACE BETTING:
Gauteng 4 units place @ 3.50

EXOTIC BETTING:
Quinella - 4,12,14

Note 1 unit equals 1% of your trading bank

All odds available at Fixed Odds through www.unitab.com.au or www.tabonline.com.au

Sandown Race 5, Wednesday 10 February, Race Preview

With our Feature Race Previews knocking off numerous big collects since it started back in early January on Magic Millions day including the very big collect on Our Aqaleem 2 Saturdays ago we felt it was time to bring you another Feature Race Preview for FREE to remind punters how good this service is

Sandown R5 - 1400m 3yo $30,000

A high class 3yo field meets us here for the 5th race on the card at Sandown on Wednesday and it is sure to prove a very good form race for identifying future race winners with the overall class of the field well above the advertised $30K purse on offer.

With Linton being such a short price in this market and with so many lightly raced improvers with good scope in the field there is good value in finding something to beat it. Admittedly Linton does look above average on the back of its 7l maiden win at Cranbourne over 1400m where it ran very good time but at such a short price (2.25 or 5/4 on Tuesday night) we can speck a few here that have very good upside at big double figure odds.

MAHMENTUM is 1st up from a spell here having only its 3rd career start and is deceivingly very well bred by Al Maher (3/4 relation to Redoute's Choice) out of the Rhythm mare Set Rhythm who herself is a half/full sister to 2 high class stakes winners Capecover (Cape Cross) and Upsetthym (Rhythm), on debut it broke its maiden status by 4l at Cranbourne on a slow track defeating Xenophon 2nd and Buzabout 3rd, Xenophon came out next start and was beaten 5l by Carrara in Listed company and then 3.9l by Tribunal in strong Open 3yo company, the form refs through Buzabout 3rd and Clever Hans 4th that day also read very well to suggest Mahmentum's maiden win was well above average, here it is likely to go forward and either lead or sit on pace under only an even tempo and get a very good trip with little pressure from the 5 alley, winkers also go on 1st time which is a bonus and should help it get the 1400m strongly, at 40/1 in early betting it is big overs and warrants specking.

LEGISLATURE from the very astute and firing John Thompson yard who represents big spending owner Nathan Tinkler who had a bag full of winners across the eastern sea board last Saturday is also one to keep a close watch on, it is by leading sire More Than Ready out of the Conquistarose mare Rose Of Latika making it a full relation to 2005 2yo 1600m G1 winner Carry On Cutie who won the 3rd leg of the triple crown being the Champagne Stakes, she also annexed the G2 Sweet Embrace Stakes, she hasn't shown a lot in 4 career starts so far but her trial form prior to her 1st career start was well above average when she accounted for Pergram, Arrived and Noesis over 800m at Cranbourne in good time, her 1st up run this prep she was thrown in the deep end taking on Listed company and was eased back to last and not suited by a leader dominated affair, this drop in class will suit her well and on breeding and trial form she may well surprise at big odds, 25/1 in early betting also warrants specking.

STELLAR ACADEMY is the 3rd of the trio at big odds that may surprise here, at its 2nd career start it chased home the well above average Hanks over 1400m at Sale making strong headway from off the pace, its closing pars were superior to Hanks that day (btn only 0.2l) and Hanks went on to win the AAMI Vase at G2 level 4 starts later, Stellar Academy proved that effort was no fluke by winning 1st up this preperation over 1211m at Yarra glen knocking off Morfontaine with a good gap to 3rd and Morfontaine the start prior was a close up 2nd to The Handsome One who franked that form winning a $70K Open 3yo race next start over Doubtful Jack before taking on the invincible Denman at its next 2 starts, Morfontaine also defeated MAHMENTUM in a very strong trial at Cranbourne before MAHMENTUM spaced them in debut as noted above, Royal Academy is drawn well to secure a good trip and if it recaptures that 1st up form from 3 starts ago it too may surprise at the big quote on offer of 40/1 in early betting.

All 3 of these horses have very good scope and warrant respect, admittedly LINTON did look very good on debut but now it must take the next step and as do these 3 noted above but at the bug differences in price we feel there is more merit in specking these 3 to beat Linton.

WIN BETTING:
2 units Mahmentum @ 41.00
1 unit Legislature @ 26.00
1 unit Stellar Academy @ 41.00
total outlay 4 units,


PLACE BETTING:
4 units Mahmentum @ 9.80
2 units Stellar Academy @ 9.80
total outlay 6 units

EXOTIC BETTING:
Trifecta - Boxed 1,3,7,8,10,14

All odds available at Fixed Odds through www.unitab.com.au or www.tabonline.com.au

Magic Millions 2YO Classic Preview - 09/01/2010

Gold Coast R7 - 1200m Magic Millions 2yo Classic $2,000,000

The $2M Magic Millions 2yo Classic is run at The Gold Coast on Saturday 9 January and shapes as a very good value betting affair, read our detailed betting preview below.

Initially we start by listing our top 7 rated runners in order, THIS IS NOT THE PREDICTED FINISHING ORDER, read on further below for final predicted finishing order.

Top 7 Rated in order
1st No13 Ambers Waltz
2nd No1 Brightexpectations
3rd No8 Ebony Rock
=4th No7 Startsmeup, No11 Triple Crown, No14 Red Belly Black
7th No9 Military Rose

Pace = Solid


Ambers Waltz - the clear top rated 0.7l infront of Bright Expectations but likely to get caught deep facing the breeze tracking the speed if it goes forward as it did on debut but more likely to go back from the wide gate and be ridden for luck, barrier a major concern and as favorite there is enough value around the other top raters to find something to beat it due to the bad barrier, too short at 4.20 in early betting to have it on top as the major pick due to the alley.

Brightexpectations - clear 2nd top rated coming in rating 1.3l infront of the 3rd rated horse Ebony Rock, also drawn a very wide gate but is a speed horse and will go forward, the pace is likely to be solid so it will need to have luck crossing them early but if it gets across and finds cover stalking the leaders it shapes as the one they have to run down in deep stretch, booking of top hoop Nash Rawiller adds confidence, well bred by More Than Ready who knows how to produce a MM winner and top class juvenile as he has proven the last few years, at the prepost price of 14.00 on offer it is definitely a bettable commodity.

Ebony Rock - one of two very serious chances for the Hayes yard along with Red Belly Black, drawn superbly down in the 2 alley to get a gun trip back off the pace on the rail and is suited by the solid tempo, it will be closing hard at the business end and only rates 2kg below Brightexpectations so if Brightexpectations doesn't get cover from the wide alley there is every chance this one could get home over the top of it and at 26.00 in early markets is worth backing as well.

Red Belly Black - the other Hayes runner and is only having 2nd start here, has big scope for further improvement on debut run, only won debut effort at Flemington by tight margins but came from last over 1100m to wear down the 3 on pace horses who finished 2nd 3rd and 4th, very good merit, form ref through I'm Posh who finished 5th puts it infront of Ebony Rock on one form reference, drawn a good gate to get also a very good trip from off the pace, once again at a good double figure price of 17.00 in early betting so it too can be backed to win along with Brightexpectations and Ebony Rock for a result across the race, looks to have the best chance of the equal 4th rated runners noted above.

PREDICTED FINISHING ORDER

1st. Brightexpectations
2nd. Ebony Rock
3rd. Red Belly Black
4th. Ambers Waltz

WIN BETTING:
3 units Brightexpectations @ 14.00,
2 units Ebony Rock @ 26.00,
2 units Red Belly Black @ 17.00,
total outlay 7 units,
minimum return 34 units,
maximum return 52 units.

PLACE BETTING:
5 units Ebony Rock @ 7.20

LAY BETTING:
Best Lay is Spirit Of Boom (max lay price 11.00),
additional lay is Military Rose (max lay price 8.00),
both can be laid under their max lay prices with good confidence.

EXOTIC BETTING
Quinella - 1,8,14
Trifecta - 1st 1,8,14 / 2nd & 3rd 1,7,8,11,13,14

Good luck and happy punting.

Magic Millions Maiden Plate Preview - 09/01/2010

Gold Coast R1 - 1200m Magic Millions Maiden Plate $100,000

Top 5 Rated in order
1st No13 Speeding To Win
2nd No2 Mailbox
3rd No21 Fatherson (5th Emerg), unlikely to start
4th No12 Solid Effort
5th No5 Fast Lover

Pace = Average


Speeding To Win - very well bred type by Redoutes Choice who comes into this 4th up from a spell at peak fitness and likely to get a near perfect trip from a good gate on the front end under an even tempo, both jockey (Nash Rawiller) and trainer (Johhn O'Shea) are in hot form currently, on debut last prep finished 0.2l 2nd to Winter King over 1000m at Randwick on heavy going, form refgs out of that race put it on top here including line through Deer Valley who last start raced against the fixed odds favorite here Fast LOver since shipping to Qld giving Speeding To Win a clear 4kg advantage at the weights on that exposed form ref through Deer Valley, ticks clearly the most boxes out of this lot and at 4.60 fixed odds is good value, anything above 3.50 is an acceptable price.

Mailbox - another very well bred commodity by Encosta De Lago out of the Danehill mare Email Me who herself won 2 from 10 starts, 3rd dam is non other than Biscalowe who is the dam of Golden Slipper winner Marauding and the dual Danehill listed winner Springsteen, positive nicking reference for dam Email Me, 1st up from a spell here on the back of a very good trial effort when 2nd btn 1.3l by Electric Dreams at Warwick Farm, form refs through those finishing further back suggest it is ready to hit a new career peak here, if so is in this up to its ears, blinkers come off 1st time amongst a multitude of other gear changes, minor query under the pace scenario as it is likely to go back to worse than midfield in a race where on pacers will have the advantage and is drawn slightly wide out in the 11 alley but has the potential class to overcome that factor, if Speeding To Win fails to fire this may be the one that gets the chocolates at a decent price 12.00 currently on offer fixed odds, back this aswell as Speeding To Win for a result across the race, they look to have it between them.

Fatherson - Hayes runner having 3rd career start and wears blinkers 1st time but unlikely to get a start being the 5th emergency in this field, only rates 1.5kg below Speeding To Win (form line through Streetcar Magic back to Canali back to Speeding To Win) and is drawn a very good alley to get a good on pace trip stalking the leaders, if it gets a start will shake the hell out of this at a massive price and must be backed, 19.00 fixed odds currently but likely to start longer, it will replace Mailbox as the 2nd elect if it gets a start but that is very unlikely.

PREDICTED FINISHING ORDER

1st Speeding To Win
2nd Mailbox
3rd Solid Effort
4th Fast Lover
Special note for Fatherson, goes into 2nd position if it gets a start.

WIN BETTING:
5 units Speeding To Win @ 4.60
2 units Mailbox @ 12.00
total outlay 7 units
minimum return 23 units
maximum return 24 units

PLACE BETTING:
4 units Mailbox @ 3.75

LAY BETTING:
No lay betting on this race

EXOTIC BETTING
Quinella - 13 with 2,12

Good luck and happy punting.


 

 

 

 

 

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